Research on the spatiotemporal evolution of regional populations is the core foundation for accurately forecasting population dynamics, analyzing migration patterns, and optimizing regional coordinated development layouts. The spatiotemporal patterns, evolution and driving mechanisms of population distribution in Jiangsu Province(JS) are systematically analyzed in this study, as well as its driving mechanisms, based on population distribution data from 2017 to 2023 across all prefecture-level cities in JS, China. Spatial visualization analysis, spatial autocorrelation analysis, population center of gravity analysis, and standard deviation ellipse modeling were used in this study. The following insights were obtained: (1) JS's total population maintains a sustained growth trend; (2) Spatially, the population exhibits a "high south, low north" gradient pattern; (3) The population center is located in Taizhou City and continues to shift toward the southern JS. Analysis indicates that economic development level is the dominant driver of population mobility. In addition, industrial structure upgrading is the key force behind spatial population differentiation, policy and planning guidance serve as crucial regulatory variables for population distribution adjustments, location and transportation conditions provide foundational support for population circulation, and the development of regional central cities acts as a supplementary catalyst for localized population agglomeration. A scientific basis is provided by this study for the coordinated development of population, economy, society, resources, and environment in JS, while valuable references are also offered for population research in similar region
Research Article
Open Access