Typhoons, as tropical cyclones occurring in the western Pacific, are one of the most destructive natural disasters, often causing severe impacts on coastal areas. With the gradual increase in typhoon intensity, predicting typhoon paths and their strengths is crucial to mitigate their threat to human lives and economic infrastructure. In recent years, the importance of applied mathematics, especially statistical modelling, in typhoon hazard assessment has become increasingly prominent. This paper discusses the application of statistical models such as extreme value theory, time series analysis and multiple regression analysis in typhoon risk prediction, aiming to reveal the key role of applied mathematics in typhoon disaster assessment, and to provide a theoretical basis for improving the accuracy of prediction and formulating effective response strategies. Through this study, it helps to improve the accuracy of typhoon track and intensity prediction, and provides scientific support for coping with the increasing typhoon disasters. In addition, this study provides an important theoretical basis and reference direction for relevant departments to formulate disaster prevention and mitigation strategies
Research Article
Open Access